Model Reasoning Benchmarks: Our Own, Self-Contained
Model Reasoning Benchmarks: Our Own, Self-Contained A benchmark is only useful if…
Grounded Citations: Separating Authority from Vibes
S10.1 established prediction markets as sensors — prices that absorb information before…
The Feedback Flywheel: Market → Research → Content → Market
The Feedback Flywheel: Market → Research → Content → Market > Draft…
The Research Pipeline: Arxiv → Synthesis → Decision
An arxiv paper drops at 8:00 PM Eastern. By 8:04 AM the…
Prediction Markets as Sensors: What Price Says Before News
The sensor model A prediction market price is not a bet. It…