A prediction market price is not a fact; it is a belief with a timestamp. Reading liquidity, timing, and the wedge betwe
AI & Automation

Prediction Market Microstructure: Liquidity, Timing, and the Signal Underneath

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Liquidity, Timing, and the Signal Underneath

Prediction markets are the cleanest external sensor in the sovereign stack: they price belief continuously, they reward truth over spin, and they leave a timestamped record. But a price …[truncated]

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